If a tenure-track Assistant Professor who will be coming up for tenure shortly (5th year) applies for a tenure-track Associate Professor position at another institution, and the other institution is interested in making the hire, what is the relative likelihood of the following scenarios:
- hired as tenure-track Assistant Professor with shortened tenure clock
- hired as tenure-track Associate Professor without tenure, with tenure decision in a few years
- hired as tenure-track Associate Professor with tenure
(assuming the candidate's record is tenure-worthy at either institution).